This equation captures one of the core mathematical components of the system. items = 8,384 trials. Confirmatory sample: 7 instruct models × 2 × 524 = 7,336 trials. Inference
Page and bbox are available; crop image is pending.
Verbal Confidence Saturation in 3-9B Open-Weight Instruction-Tuned LLMs: A Pre-Registered Psychometric Validity Screen explores A psychometric validity screen reveals that minimal verbal elicitation fails to reliably extract uncertainty from 3-9B open-weight LLMs, even with categorical prompts.. Commercial viability score: 5/10 in LLM Confidence Elicitation.
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Canonical ID verbal-confidence-saturation-in-3-9b-open-weight-instruction-tuned-llms-a-pre-registered-psychometric-validity-screen | Route /paper/verbal-confidence-saturation-in-3-9b-open-weight-instruction-tuned-llms-a-pre-registered-psychometric-validity-screen
REST example
curl https://sciencetostartup.com/api/v1/agent-handoff/paper/verbal-confidence-saturation-in-3-9b-open-weight-instruction-tuned-llms-a-pre-registered-psychometric-validity-screenMCP example
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/buildability/verbal-confidence-saturation-in-3-9b-open-weight-instruction-tuned-llms-a-pre-registered-psychometric-validity-screen
Subject: Verbal Confidence Saturation in 3-9B Open-Weight Instruction-Tuned LLMs: A Pre-Registered Psychometric Validity Screen
Verdict
Watch
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Receipt path
/buildability/verbal-confidence-saturation-in-3-9b-open-weight-instruction-tuned-llms-a-pre-registered-psychometric-validity-screen
Paper ref
verbal-confidence-saturation-in-3-9b-open-weight-instruction-tuned-llms-a-pre-registered-psychometric-validity-screen
arXiv id
2604.22215
Generated at
2026-04-27T20:17:13.053Z
Evidence freshness
fresh
Last verification
2026-04-27T20:17:13.053Z
Sources
4
References
0
Coverage
67%
Lineage hash
b9af6765def3959fc0a0f1a08bd2d55c09c51067d6adc3c65c0ada1328be907f
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not_verified
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Pending verification refs / 4 sources / Verification pending
references
proof_status
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Dimensions overall score 5.0
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This equation captures one of the core mathematical components of the system. items = 8,384 trials. Confirmatory sample: 7 instruct models × 2 × 524 = 7,336 trials. Inference
Page and bbox are available; crop image is pending.
This equation captures one of the core mathematical components of the system. classified models showed mean AUROC2 = .357 versus .624 for Valid-classified models (d = 2.81).
Page and bbox are available; crop image is pending.
This equation captures one of the core mathematical components of the system. indices are computed: L = P(high confidence | incorrect), Fp = P(low confidence | correct), and
Page and bbox are available; crop image is pending.
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