Opportunity summary
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ARXIV:2604.18373 · AI AGENTS IN FINANCE · SUBMITTED 21 APR · 04:19 UTC · FRESHNESS STALE
ARXIV:2604.18373AI AGENTS IN FINANCESUBMITTED 21 APR · 04:19 UTCFRESHNESS STALEShumiao Ouyang · Pengfei Sui · arXiv
AI agents trained on LLMs exhibit behavioral finance patterns and can be manipulated via prompt engineering to influence market bubbles.
Opportunity summary
Pain AI agents trained on LLMs exhibit behavioral finance patterns and can be manipulated via prompt engineering to influence market bubbles.
Evidence 0 refs | 3 sources | 50% coverage
Blocker Evidence unverified
AI agents trained on LLMs exhibit behavioral finance patterns and can be manipulated via prompt engineering to influence market bubbles. Using a simulated open-call auction populated by autonomous Large Language Model (LLM) agents, we…
We study how AI agents form expectations and trade in experimental asset markets. Using a simulated open-call auction populated by autonomous Large Language Model (LLM) agents, we document three main findings.
ScienceToStartup currently rates this 3.0/10 on the public viability pass. Third, by analyzing the agents' reasoning text through a twenty-mechanism scoring framework, we show that targeted prompt interventions causally amplify or suppress specific behavioral…
AI Agents in Finance moved forward this cycle; last verified April 2026. Public score 3.0/10.
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Score3.0Public score shown from the verified overall while the stale axis breakdown refreshesAnalysis summary
AI agents trained on LLMs exhibit behavioral finance patterns and can be manipulated via prompt engineering to influence market bubbles.
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Paper Pack
10.48550/arXiv.2604.18373AI agents trained on LLMs exhibit behavioral finance patterns and can be manipulated via prompt engineering to influence market bubbles.
Abstract
We study how AI agents form expectations and trade in experimental asset markets. Using a simulated open-call auction populated by autonomous Large Language Model (LLM) agents, we document three main findings. First, AI agents exhibit classic behavioral patterns: a pronounced disposition effect and recency-weighted extrapolative beliefs. Second, these individual-level patterns aggregate into equilibrium dynamics that replicate classic experimental findings (Smith et al., 1988), including the predictive power of excess demand for future prices and the positive relationship between disagreement and trading volume. Third, by analyzing the agents' reasoning text through a twenty-mechanism scoring framework, we show that targeted prompt interventions causally amplify or suppress specific behavioral mechanisms, significantly altering the magnitude of market bubbles.
Source availability
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Extraction status
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Proof status
unverified0 refs; 3 sources; 50% coverage.
What was readable
Derived fallback: Estimated from adjacent evidence; not verified from source.
Viability
Time to MVP
Commercial
Export
Preparing verified analysis
Dimensions overall score 3.0
PROBLEM
AI agents trained on LLMs exhibit behavioral finance patterns and can be manipulated via prompt engineering to influence market bubbles. Using a simulated open-call auction populated by autonomous Large Language Model (LLM) agents, we document three main findings.
METHOD
We study how AI agents form expectations and trade in experimental asset markets. Using a simulated open-call auction populated by autonomous Large Language Model (LLM) agents, we document three main findings.
RESULT
ScienceToStartup currently rates this 3.0/10 on the public viability pass. Third, by analyzing the agents' reasoning text through a twenty-mechanism scoring framework, we show that targeted prompt interventions causally amplify or suppress specific behavioral mechanisms, signifi...
WHY NOW
AI Agents in Finance moved forward this cycle; last verified April 2026. Public score 3.0/10.
- 10. overconfidence Labels: overconfident | well_calibrated | underconfident | unobserved Score: 1.0=excessive certainty, 0.5=moderate, 0=well-calibrated Definition: Excessive certainty about one’s own judgments
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partial
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Concepts
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Competitors
AI agents trained on LLMs exhibit behavioral finance patterns and can be manipulated via prompt engineering to influence market bubbles.
Segment
AI Agents in Finance
Adoption evidence
No public code link in the paper record yet
Commercial read
3.0/10 public viability
Direct
Adjacent
Substitute
Unknown
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CITED BY
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2/3 checks · 67%
Build Passport
Build passport pending - Proof Lab budget No verified cost estimate / $7.00 cap
status
missing
reason
passport_row_missing
proof status
unverified
cost/budget
No verified cost estimate
confidence low
next verification path
Build brief missing until Build Passport data exists.
Source missing: Build Passport payload.
Experiment plan missing until prototype path is available.
No prototype path attached.
Validation checklist missing until required assets, cost, and regulatory flags are verified.
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Derived signals show verified:false until source-backed receipts exist.
Evidence coverage
OpportunityKernel evidence_receipt
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stale
Verify missing sources before using this as buyer proof. verified:false
Build readiness
BuildPassport EvidenceState
passport absent
stale
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Artifact maturity
GitHub and Hugging Face maturity payloads
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stale
Open source artifacts or mark the gap as missing. verified:false
Technical feasibility
partial
Current read
Runnable path is not fully verified.
Evidence
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Gaps
Next test
Run minimal reproduction from the Build Passport prototype path.
Market urgency
missing
Current read
Buyer urgency is not verified from source.
Evidence
0 references, 3 sources, 50% evidence coverage.
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Collect buyer interview, deployment evidence, or cited demand signal.
Buyer clarity
missing
Current read
No budget owner is verified for this paper.
Evidence
Build tab has no CRM, procurement, or operator source.
Gaps
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Map target operator, economic buyer, and procurement trigger.
Defensibility
missing
Current read
Defensibility signals are missing.
Evidence
No defensibility receipt attached.
Gaps
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Refresh defensibility bars with source receipts.
Integration burden
missing
Current read
No public implementation surface observed.
Evidence
No GitHub or Hugging Face payload attached.
Gaps
Next test
Write integration checklist from prototype path and target workflow.
Capital intensity
missing
Current read
No observed cost estimate is verified.
Evidence
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Gaps
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Run cost passport or mark the cost field not applicable.
Regulatory load
missing
Current read
No regulatory classification is attached.
Evidence
Build Passport ledger does not include regulatory flags.
Gaps
Next test
Classify regulatory flags before commercialization planning.
No named scientific founder assigned.
Paper authors are not treated as operators without consent.
People
No named person assigned.
Gaps
Next verification path
Prototype owner missing.
Build Passport does not name an implementer.
People
No named person assigned.
Gaps
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Operator workflow not sourced.
No buyer or workflow interview attached.
People
No named person assigned.
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No CRM or outreach source attached.
People
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Regulatory need unclassified.
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People
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Gaps
Next verification path
ARTIFACTS
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DEFENSIBILITY
Defensibility and confidence evidence pending.
WATCHTOWER
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FORESIGHT
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OPPORTUNITYKERNEL CHANGES SINCE LAST VIEW
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RELATED PAPER UPDATES
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TIMELINE
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BUZZ
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