foresight
A chart of predicted probability against actual frequency. A well-calibrated model sits on the diagonal of the curve.
Calibration Curve buckets Foresight predictions by confidence and plots the actual outcome rate inside each bucket. A model that says 70% should land near 70% reality. Foresight publishes the curve alongside every backtest so a reader can audit over-confidence and under-confidence directly, without re-running the model.
Source: curated glossary catalog. Freshness: git_versioned_curated_catalog.
Term API · apps/web/data/glossary/terms.ts