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ARXIV:2603.28304 · LLM EVALUATION · SUBMITTED 31 MAR · 20:23 UTC · FRESHNESS STALE
ARXIV:2603.28304LLM EVALUATIONSUBMITTED 31 MAR · 20:23 UTCFRESHNESS STALELujun Li · Lama Sleem · Yangjie Xu · Yewei Song · Aolin Jia · Jerome Francois · +1 at arXiv
This paper investigates the impact of temperature settings on LLM-as-a-Judge performance to optimize text evaluation pipelines.
Opportunity summary
Pain This paper investigates the impact of temperature settings on LLM-as-a-Judge performance to optimize text evaluation pipelines.
Evidence 19 refs | 4 sources | 50% coverage
Blocker Evidence unverified
This paper investigates the impact of temperature settings on LLM-as-a-Judge performance to optimize text evaluation pipelines. Prior studies have shown substantial agreement between LLM judges and human experts, even on tasks that are difficult…
LLM-as-a-Judge has emerged as an effective and low-cost paradigm for evaluating text quality and factual correctness. Prior studies have shown substantial agreement between LLM judges and human experts, even on tasks that are difficult…
ScienceToStartup currently rates this 3.0/10 on the public viability pass. To address this, we systematically investigate the relationship between temperature and judge performance through a series of controlled experiments, and further adopt a causal…
LLM Evaluation moved forward this cycle; last verified April 2026. Public score 3.0/10.
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Score3.0Public score shown from the verified overall while the stale axis breakdown refreshesAnalysis summary
This paper investigates the impact of temperature settings on LLM-as-a-Judge performance to optimize text evaluation pipelines.
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10.48550/arXiv.2603.28304This paper investigates the impact of temperature settings on LLM-as-a-Judge performance to optimize text evaluation pipelines.
Abstract
LLM-as-a-Judge has emerged as an effective and low-cost paradigm for evaluating text quality and factual correctness. Prior studies have shown substantial agreement between LLM judges and human experts, even on tasks that are difficult to assess automatically. In practice, researchers commonly employ fixed temperature configurations during the evaluation process-with values of 0.1 and 1.0 being the most prevalent choices-a convention that is largely empirical rather than principled. However, recent researches suggest that LLM performance exhibits non-trivial sensitivity to temperature settings, that lower temperatures do not universally yield optimal outcomes, and that such effects are highly task-dependent. This raises a critical research question: does temperature influence judge performance in LLM centric evaluation? To address this, we systematically investigate the relationship between temperature and judge performance through a series of controlled experiments, and further adopt a causal inference framework within our empirical statistical analysis to rigorously examine the direct causal effect of temperature on judge behavior, offering actionable engineering insights for the design of LLM-centric evaluation pipelines.
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Extraction status
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Proof status
unverified19 refs; 4 sources; 50% coverage.
What was readable
Derived fallback: Estimated from adjacent evidence; not verified from source.
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Dimensions overall score 3.0
PROBLEM
This paper investigates the impact of temperature settings on LLM-as-a-Judge performance to optimize text evaluation pipelines. Prior studies have shown substantial agreement between LLM judges and human experts, even on tasks that are difficult to assess automatically.
METHOD
LLM-as-a-Judge has emerged as an effective and low-cost paradigm for evaluating text quality and factual correctness. Prior studies have shown substantial agreement between LLM judges and human experts, even on tasks that are difficult to assess automatically.
RESULT
ScienceToStartup currently rates this 3.0/10 on the public viability pass. To address this, we systematically investigate the relationship between temperature and judge performance through a series of controlled experiments, and further adopt a causal inference framework within...
WHY NOW
LLM Evaluation moved forward this cycle; last verified April 2026. Public score 3.0/10.
This raises a critical research question: does temperature influence judge performance in LLM centric evaluation?
Explicitly stated as the core research question and investigated through systematic experiments.
partial
recent researches suggest that LLM performance exhibits non-trivial sensitivity to temperature settings, that lower temperatures do not universally yield optimal outcomes
Directly stated in the abstract as a finding from recent research, forming the motivation for the study.
partial
a convention that is largely empirical rather than principled.
Directly and explicitly stated in the abstract.
partial
and further adopt a causal inference framework within our empirical statistical analysis to rigorously examine the direct causal effect of temperature on judge behavior
Explicitly stated as a core methodological component of the analysis.
partial
Three metrics are used to evaluate the judge behavior: agreement rate, consistency, and error rate.
Explicitly defined in the metrics section with formulas provided.
partial
Therefore, our open-source dataset comprises 500 questions, responses, and human judge selections (with partial coverage), enabling us to systematically investigate the impact of temperature on LLM-as-a-Judge performance.
Directly stated with specific numbers and purpose.
partial
We do not additionally test few-shot prompting here... positional bias... is excluded from this study, as our primary focus is the impact of temperature on the judge performance.
Explicitly stated as a deliberate methodological choice with justification.
partial
LLM-as-a-judge—is progressively supplanting common human-annotated evaluation. This shift is driven by the capacity of model-based evaluation to substantially reduce human labeling costs, accelerate assessment cycles, and demonstrate superior consistency in sophisticated tasks
Directly stated as a trend and its driving factors.
partial
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This paper investigates the impact of temperature settings on LLM-as-a-Judge performance to optimize text evaluation pipelines.
Segment
LLM Evaluation
Adoption evidence
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Commercial read
3.0/10 public viability
Direct
Adjacent
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CITED BY
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3/3 checks · 100%
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status
missing
reason
passport_row_missing
proof status
unverified
cost/budget
No verified cost estimate
confidence low
next verification path
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Source missing: Build Passport payload.
Experiment plan missing until prototype path is available.
No prototype path attached.
Validation checklist missing until required assets, cost, and regulatory flags are verified.
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Derived signals show verified:false until source-backed receipts exist.
Evidence coverage
OpportunityKernel evidence_receipt
19 refs / 4 sources / 50% coverage
stale
Verify missing sources before using this as buyer proof. verified:false
Build readiness
BuildPassport EvidenceState
passport absent
stale
Run Proof Lab or inspect typed missing state. verified:false
Artifact maturity
GitHub and Hugging Face maturity payloads
No public artifact surface observed
stale
Open source artifacts or mark the gap as missing. verified:false
Technical feasibility
partial
Current read
Runnable path is not fully verified.
Evidence
No Build Passport payload attached.
Gaps
Next test
Run minimal reproduction from the Build Passport prototype path.
Market urgency
partial
Current read
Research evidence exists; buyer urgency still needs source proof.
Evidence
19 references, 4 sources, 50% evidence coverage.
Gaps
Next test
Collect buyer interview, deployment evidence, or cited demand signal.
Buyer clarity
missing
Current read
No budget owner is verified for this paper.
Evidence
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Defensibility
missing
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Defensibility signals are missing.
Evidence
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Refresh defensibility bars with source receipts.
Integration burden
missing
Current read
No public implementation surface observed.
Evidence
No GitHub or Hugging Face payload attached.
Gaps
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Write integration checklist from prototype path and target workflow.
Capital intensity
missing
Current read
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Regulatory load
missing
Current read
No regulatory classification is attached.
Evidence
Build Passport ledger does not include regulatory flags.
Gaps
Next test
Classify regulatory flags before commercialization planning.
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Paper authors are not treated as operators without consent.
People
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Gaps
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Prototype owner missing.
Build Passport does not name an implementer.
People
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Operator workflow not sourced.
No buyer or workflow interview attached.
People
No named person assigned.
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No CRM or outreach source attached.
People
No named person assigned.
Gaps
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Regulatory need unclassified.
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People
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Gaps
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ARTIFACTS
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DEFENSIBILITY
Defensibility and confidence evidence pending.
WATCHTOWER
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FORESIGHT
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OPPORTUNITYKERNEL CHANGES SINCE LAST VIEW
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SIGNAL CANVAS HISTORY AND DELTAS
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TIMELINE
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BUZZ
Buzz trend pending.