Opportunity summary
Score5.0Public score shown from the verified overall while the stale axis breakdown refreshesThis canonical paper page includes Commercialization Proof and Related Resources.
ARXIV:2603.03203 · LANGUAGE MODEL RELIABILITY · SUBMITTED 02 APR · 02:30 UTC · FRESHNESS STALE
ARXIV:2603.03203LANGUAGE MODEL RELIABILITYSUBMITTED 02 APR · 02:30 UTCFRESHNESS STALEarXiv
Detect data contamination in small language models by analyzing output distribution shape to mitigate memorization risks.
Opportunity summary
Pain Detect data contamination in small language models by analyzing output distribution shape to mitigate memorization risks.
Evidence 0 refs | 0 sources | 17% coverage
Blocker Evidence unverified
Detect data contamination in small language models by analyzing output distribution shape to mitigate memorization risks. We study the conditions under which this approach succeeds and fails on small language models ranging from 70M…
CDD, or Contamination Detection via output Distribution, identifies data contamination by measuring the peakedness of a model's sampled outputs. We study the conditions under which this approach succeeds and fails on small language models…
ScienceToStartup currently rates this 5.0/10 on the public viability pass. Our results characterize a memorization threshold that governs detectability and highlight a practical consideration: parameter-efficient fine-tuning can produce contamination that output-distribution methods do not…
Language Model Reliability moved forward this cycle; last verified April 2026. Public score 5.0/10.
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mobile layout uses overflow-hidden min-w-0 break-wordsOpportunity summary
Score5.0Public score shown from the verified overall while the stale axis breakdown refreshesAnalysis summary
Detect data contamination in small language models by analyzing output distribution shape to mitigate memorization risks.
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Paper Pack
10.48550/arXiv.2603.03203Detect data contamination in small language models by analyzing output distribution shape to mitigate memorization risks.
Abstract
CDD, or Contamination Detection via output Distribution, identifies data contamination by measuring the peakedness of a model's sampled outputs. We study the conditions under which this approach succeeds and fails on small language models ranging from 70M to 410M parameters. Using controlled contamination experiments on GSM8K, HumanEval, and MATH, we find that CDD's effectiveness depends critically on whether fine-tuning produces verbatim memorization. With low-rank adaptation, models can learn from contaminated data without memorizing it, and CDD performs at chance level even when the data is verifiably contaminated. Only when fine-tuning capacity is sufficient to induce memorization does CDD recover strong detection accuracy. Our results characterize a memorization threshold that governs detectability and highlight a practical consideration: parameter-efficient fine-tuning can produce contamination that output-distribution methods do not detect. Our code is available at https://github.com/Sela-Omer/Contamination-Detection-Small-LM
Source availability
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Extraction status
Derived fallbackRead summaries are estimated from adjacent metadata, not verified extraction rows.
Proof status
unverified0 refs; 0 sources; 17% coverage.
What was readable
Derived fallback: Estimated from adjacent evidence; not verified from source.
Viability
Time to MVP
Commercial
Export
Preparing verified analysis
Dimensions overall score 5.0
PROBLEM
Detect data contamination in small language models by analyzing output distribution shape to mitigate memorization risks. We study the conditions under which this approach succeeds and fails on small language models ranging from 70M to 410M parameters.
METHOD
CDD, or Contamination Detection via output Distribution, identifies data contamination by measuring the peakedness of a model's sampled outputs. We study the conditions under which this approach succeeds and fails on small language models ranging from 70M to 410M parameters.
RESULT
ScienceToStartup currently rates this 5.0/10 on the public viability pass. Our results characterize a memorization threshold that governs detectability and highlight a practical consideration: parameter-efficient fine-tuning can produce contamination that output-distribution met...
WHY NOW
Language Model Reliability moved forward this cycle; last verified April 2026. Public score 5.0/10.
Abstract-backed public claims while anchored extraction refreshes.
Detect data contamination in small language models by analyzing output distribution shape to mitigate memorization risks. We study the conditions under which this approach succeeds and fails on small language models ranging from 70M to 410M parameters.
Abstract-backed fallback claim; anchored extraction has not materialized a public claim row yet.
partial
CDD, or Contamination Detection via output Distribution, identifies data contamination by measuring the peakedness of a model's sampled outputs. We study the conditions under which this approach succeeds and fails on small language models ranging from 70M to 410M parameters.
Abstract-backed fallback claim; anchored extraction has not materialized a public claim row yet.
partial
ScienceToStartup currently rates this 5.0/10 on the public viability pass. Our results characterize a memorization threshold that governs detectability and highlight a practical consideration: parameter-efficient fine-tuning can produce contamination that output-distribution methods do not detect.
Abstract-backed fallback claim; anchored extraction has not materialized a public claim row yet.
partial
Language Model Reliability moved forward this cycle; last verified April 2026. Public score 5.0/10.
Abstract-backed fallback claim; anchored extraction has not materialized a public claim row yet.
partial
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Concepts
Methods
Materials
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Competitors
Detect data contamination in small language models by analyzing output distribution shape to mitigate memorization risks.
Segment
Language Model Reliability
Adoption evidence
No public code link in the paper record yet
Commercial read
5.0/10 public viability
Direct
Adjacent
Substitute
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CITED BY
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Build Passport
Build passport pending - Proof Lab budget No verified cost estimate / $7.00 cap
status
missing
reason
passport_row_missing
proof status
unverified
cost/budget
No verified cost estimate
confidence low
next verification path
Build brief missing until Build Passport data exists.
Source missing: Build Passport payload.
Experiment plan missing until prototype path is available.
No prototype path attached.
Validation checklist missing until required assets, cost, and regulatory flags are verified.
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Evidence coverage
OpportunityKernel evidence_receipt
0 refs / 0 sources / 17% coverage
stale
Verify missing sources before using this as buyer proof. verified:false
Build readiness
BuildPassport EvidenceState
passport absent
stale
Run Proof Lab or inspect typed missing state. verified:false
Artifact maturity
GitHub and Hugging Face maturity payloads
No public artifact surface observed
stale
Open source artifacts or mark the gap as missing. verified:false
Technical feasibility
partial
Current read
Runnable path is not fully verified.
Evidence
No Build Passport payload attached.
Gaps
Next test
Run minimal reproduction from the Build Passport prototype path.
Market urgency
missing
Current read
Buyer urgency is not verified from source.
Evidence
0 references, 0 sources, 17% evidence coverage.
Gaps
Next test
Collect buyer interview, deployment evidence, or cited demand signal.
Buyer clarity
missing
Current read
No budget owner is verified for this paper.
Evidence
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Gaps
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Map target operator, economic buyer, and procurement trigger.
Defensibility
missing
Current read
Defensibility signals are missing.
Evidence
No defensibility receipt attached.
Gaps
Next test
Refresh defensibility bars with source receipts.
Integration burden
missing
Current read
No public implementation surface observed.
Evidence
No GitHub or Hugging Face payload attached.
Gaps
Next test
Write integration checklist from prototype path and target workflow.
Capital intensity
missing
Current read
No observed cost estimate is verified.
Evidence
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Run cost passport or mark the cost field not applicable.
Regulatory load
missing
Current read
No regulatory classification is attached.
Evidence
Build Passport ledger does not include regulatory flags.
Gaps
Next test
Classify regulatory flags before commercialization planning.
No named scientific founder assigned.
Paper authors are not treated as operators without consent.
People
No named person assigned.
Gaps
Next verification path
Prototype owner missing.
Build Passport does not name an implementer.
People
No named person assigned.
Gaps
Next verification path
Operator workflow not sourced.
No buyer or workflow interview attached.
People
No named person assigned.
Gaps
Next verification path
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No CRM or outreach source attached.
People
No named person assigned.
Gaps
Next verification path
Regulatory need unclassified.
No clinical or regulatory source attached.
People
No named person assigned.
Gaps
Next verification path
ARTIFACTS
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DEFENSIBILITY
Defensibility and confidence evidence pending.
WATCHTOWER
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FORESIGHT
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OPPORTUNITYKERNEL CHANGES SINCE LAST VIEW
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RELATED PAPER UPDATES
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TIMELINE
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BUZZ
Buzz trend pending.