TAM / SAM / SOM with assumptions and sources.
Total demand if you captured 100% of the market. Usually top-down (e.g. industry reports) or bottom-up (units × price across all segments).
Segment of TAM you can realistically serve (e.g. geography, vertical, product type).
Share you can capture in 3–5 years (realistic first revenue target). Often bottom-up: # customers × ARPU.
Narrowest first market: who pays first, and why you win there.
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