Opportunity summary
Score4.0Public score shown from the verified overall while the stale axis breakdown refreshesThis canonical paper page includes Commercialization Proof and Related Resources.
ARXIV:2604.28181 · AGENT SIMULATION · SUBMITTED 01 MAY · 15:05 UTC · FRESHNESS STALE
ARXIV:2604.28181AGENT SIMULATIONSUBMITTED 01 MAY · 15:05 UTCFRESHNESS STALETao Ge · Baolin Peng · Hao Cheng · Jianfeng Gao · arXiv
A scalable methodology for creating synthetic computer environments and simulating long-horizon productivity tasks to train agents for improved performance.
Opportunity summary
Pain A scalable methodology for creating synthetic computer environments and simulating long-horizon productivity tasks to train agents for improved performance.
Evidence 0 refs | 4 sources | 50% coverage
Blocker Evidence unverified
A scalable methodology for creating synthetic computer environments and simulating long-horizon productivity tasks to train agents for improved performance. To scale synthetic data creation for such productivity scenarios, we introduce Synthetic Computers at Scale,…
Realistic long-horizon productivity work is strongly conditioned on user-specific computer environments, where much of the work context is stored and organized through directory structures and content-rich artifacts. To scale synthetic data creation for such…
ScienceToStartup currently rates this 4.0/10 on the public viability pass. We argue that scalable synthetic computer creation, together with at-scale simulations, is highly promising as a foundational substrate for agent self-improvement and agentic reinforcement…
Agent Simulation moved forward this cycle; last verified May 2026. Public score 4.0/10.
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mobile layout uses overflow-hidden min-w-0 break-wordsOpportunity summary
Score4.0Public score shown from the verified overall while the stale axis breakdown refreshesAnalysis summary
A scalable methodology for creating synthetic computer environments and simulating long-horizon productivity tasks to train agents for improved performance.
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Paper Pack
10.48550/arXiv.2604.28181A scalable methodology for creating synthetic computer environments and simulating long-horizon productivity tasks to train agents for improved performance.
Abstract
Realistic long-horizon productivity work is strongly conditioned on user-specific computer environments, where much of the work context is stored and organized through directory structures and content-rich artifacts. To scale synthetic data creation for such productivity scenarios, we introduce Synthetic Computers at Scale, a scalable methodology for creating such environments with realistic folder hierarchies and content-rich artifacts (e.g., documents, spreadsheets, and presentations). Conditioned on each synthetic computer, we run long-horizon simulations: one agent creates productivity objectives that are specific to the computer's user and require multiple professional deliverables and about a month of human work; another agent then acts as that user and keeps working across the computer -- for example, navigating the filesystem for grounding, coordinating with simulated collaborators, and producing professional artifacts -- until these objectives are completed. In preliminary experiments, we create 1,000 synthetic computers and run long-horizon simulations on them; each run requires over 8 hours of agent runtime and spans more than 2,000 turns on average. These simulations produce rich experiential learning signals, whose effectiveness is validated by significant improvements in agent performance on both in-domain and out-of-domain productivity evaluations. Given that personas are abundant at billion scale, this methodology can in principle scale to millions or even billions of synthetic user worlds with sufficient compute, enabling broader coverage of diverse professions, roles, contexts, environments, and productivity needs. We argue that scalable synthetic computer creation, together with at-scale simulations, is highly promising as a foundational substrate for agent self-improvement and agentic reinforcement learning in long-horizon productivity scenarios.
Source availability
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Extraction status
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Proof status
unverified0 refs; 4 sources; 50% coverage.
What was readable
Derived fallback: Estimated from adjacent evidence; not verified from source.
Viability
Time to MVP
Commercial
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Dimensions overall score 4.0
PROBLEM
A scalable methodology for creating synthetic computer environments and simulating long-horizon productivity tasks to train agents for improved performance. To scale synthetic data creation for such productivity scenarios, we introduce Synthetic Computers at Scale, a scalable me...
METHOD
Realistic long-horizon productivity work is strongly conditioned on user-specific computer environments, where much of the work context is stored and organized through directory structures and content-rich artifacts. To scale synthetic data creation for such productivity scenari...
RESULT
ScienceToStartup currently rates this 4.0/10 on the public viability pass. We argue that scalable synthetic computer creation, together with at-scale simulations, is highly promising as a foundational substrate for agent self-improvement and agentic reinforcement learning in lon...
WHY NOW
Agent Simulation moved forward this cycle; last verified May 2026. Public score 4.0/10.
{"file name": "input.pdf", "number of pages": 33, "author": "Tao Ge; Baolin Peng; Hao Cheng; Jianfeng Gao", "title": "Synthetic Computers at Scale for Long-Horizon Productivity Simulation", "creation date": null
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partial
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Concepts
Methods
Materials
Markets
Competitors
A scalable methodology for creating synthetic computer environments and simulating long-horizon productivity tasks to train agents for improved performance.
Segment
Agent Simulation
Adoption evidence
No public code link in the paper record yet
Commercial read
4.0/10 public viability
Direct
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CITED BY
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2/3 checks · 67%
Build Passport
Build passport pending - Proof Lab budget No verified cost estimate / $7.00 cap
status
missing
reason
passport_row_missing
proof status
unverified
cost/budget
No verified cost estimate
confidence low
next verification path
Build brief missing until Build Passport data exists.
Source missing: Build Passport payload.
Experiment plan missing until prototype path is available.
No prototype path attached.
Validation checklist missing until required assets, cost, and regulatory flags are verified.
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Evidence coverage
OpportunityKernel evidence_receipt
0 refs / 4 sources / 50% coverage
stale
Verify missing sources before using this as buyer proof. verified:false
Build readiness
BuildPassport EvidenceState
passport absent
stale
Run Proof Lab or inspect typed missing state. verified:false
Artifact maturity
GitHub and Hugging Face maturity payloads
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stale
Open source artifacts or mark the gap as missing. verified:false
Technical feasibility
partial
Current read
Runnable path is not fully verified.
Evidence
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Gaps
Next test
Run minimal reproduction from the Build Passport prototype path.
Market urgency
missing
Current read
Buyer urgency is not verified from source.
Evidence
0 references, 4 sources, 50% evidence coverage.
Gaps
Next test
Collect buyer interview, deployment evidence, or cited demand signal.
Buyer clarity
missing
Current read
No budget owner is verified for this paper.
Evidence
Build tab has no CRM, procurement, or operator source.
Gaps
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Map target operator, economic buyer, and procurement trigger.
Defensibility
missing
Current read
Defensibility signals are missing.
Evidence
No defensibility receipt attached.
Gaps
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Refresh defensibility bars with source receipts.
Integration burden
missing
Current read
No public implementation surface observed.
Evidence
No GitHub or Hugging Face payload attached.
Gaps
Next test
Write integration checklist from prototype path and target workflow.
Capital intensity
missing
Current read
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Evidence
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Gaps
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Regulatory load
missing
Current read
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Evidence
Build Passport ledger does not include regulatory flags.
Gaps
Next test
Classify regulatory flags before commercialization planning.
No named scientific founder assigned.
Paper authors are not treated as operators without consent.
People
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Gaps
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Prototype owner missing.
Build Passport does not name an implementer.
People
No named person assigned.
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Operator workflow not sourced.
No buyer or workflow interview attached.
People
No named person assigned.
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No CRM or outreach source attached.
People
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Regulatory need unclassified.
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People
No named person assigned.
Gaps
Next verification path
ARTIFACTS
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DEFENSIBILITY
Defensibility and confidence evidence pending.
WATCHTOWER
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FORESIGHT
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OPPORTUNITYKERNEL CHANGES SINCE LAST VIEW
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BUZZ
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