Opportunity summary
Score3.0This canonical paper page includes Commercialization Proof and Related Resources.
ARXIV:2604.17849 · AI AGENTS · SUBMITTED 21 APR · 02:41 UTC · FRESHNESS STALE
ARXIV:2604.17849AI AGENTSSUBMITTED 21 APR · 02:41 UTCFRESHNESS STALEGonzalo Gonzalez-Pumariega · Saaket Agashe · Jiachen Yang · Ang Li · Xin Eric Wang · arXiv
This paper analyzes the sources of unreliability in computer-use agents, focusing on stochasticity, ambiguity, and behavioral variability.
Opportunity summary
Pain This paper analyzes the sources of unreliability in computer-use agents, focusing on stochasticity, ambiguity, and behavioral variability.
Evidence 0 refs | 3 sources | 50% coverage
Blocker Evidence unverified
This paper analyzes the sources of unreliability in computer-use agents, focusing on stochasticity, ambiguity, and behavioral variability. Yet even when the task and model are unchanged, an agent that succeeds once may fail on…
Computer-use agents have rapidly improved on real-world tasks such as web navigation, desktop automation, and software interaction, in some cases surpassing human performance. Yet even when the task and model are unchanged, an agent…
ScienceToStartup currently rates this 3.0/10 on the public viability pass. Our analysis shows that reliability depends on both how tasks are specified and how agent behavior varies across executions.
AI Agents moved forward this cycle; last verified April 2026. Public score 3.0/10.
Continue into Read for claims, analysis, references, and neighboring papers.
mobile layout uses overflow-hidden min-w-0 break-wordsOpportunity summary
Score3.0Analysis summary
This paper analyzes the sources of unreliability in computer-use agents, focusing on stochasticity, ambiguity, and behavioral variability.
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Paper Pack
10.48550/arXiv.2604.17849This paper analyzes the sources of unreliability in computer-use agents, focusing on stochasticity, ambiguity, and behavioral variability.
Abstract
Computer-use agents have rapidly improved on real-world tasks such as web navigation, desktop automation, and software interaction, in some cases surpassing human performance. Yet even when the task and model are unchanged, an agent that succeeds once may fail on a repeated execution of the same task. This raises a fundamental question: if an agent can succeed at a task once, what prevents it from doing so reliably? In this work, we study the sources of unreliability in computer-use agents through three factors: stochasticity during execution, ambiguity in task specification, and variability in agent behavior. We analyze these factors on OSWorld using repeated executions of the same task together with paired statistical tests that capture task-level changes across settings. Our analysis shows that reliability depends on both how tasks are specified and how agent behavior varies across executions. These findings suggest the need to evaluate agents under repeated execution, to allow agents to resolve task ambiguity through interaction, and to favor strategies that remain stable across runs.
Source availability
PDF linkedThe paper record includes a public PDF URL.
Extraction status
Parse run linkedA document parse run is attached to this paper.
Proof status
unverified0 refs; 3 sources; 50% coverage.
What was readable
Derived fallback: Estimated from adjacent evidence; not verified from source.
Viability
Time to MVP
Commercial
Export
Preparing verified analysis
Dimensions overall score 3.0
PROBLEM
This paper analyzes the sources of unreliability in computer-use agents, focusing on stochasticity, ambiguity, and behavioral variability. Yet even when the task and model are unchanged, an agent that succeeds once may fail on a repeated execution of the same task.
METHOD
Computer-use agents have rapidly improved on real-world tasks such as web navigation, desktop automation, and software interaction, in some cases surpassing human performance. Yet even when the task and model are unchanged, an agent that succeeds once may fail on a repeated exec...
RESULT
ScienceToStartup currently rates this 3.0/10 on the public viability pass. Our analysis shows that reliability depends on both how tasks are specified and how agent behavior varies across executions.
WHY NOW
AI Agents moved forward this cycle; last verified April 2026. Public score 3.0/10.
{"file name": "input.pdf", "number of pages": 33, "author": "Gonzalo Gonzalez-Pumariega; Saaket Agashe; Jiachen Yang; Ang Li; Xin Eric Wang", "title": "On the Reliability of Computer Use Agents", "creation date": null
Implication not extracted yet.
partial
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Concepts
Methods
Materials
Markets
Competitors
This paper analyzes the sources of unreliability in computer-use agents, focusing on stochasticity, ambiguity, and behavioral variability.
Segment
AI Agents
Adoption evidence
No public code link in the paper record yet
Commercial read
3.0/10 public viability
Direct
Adjacent
Substitute
Unknown
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Bluesky
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CITED BY
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Foundation
Commercially relevant
Conflicting
Owned Distribution
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2/3 checks · 67%
Build Passport
Build passport pending - Proof Lab budget No verified cost estimate / $7.00 cap
status
missing
reason
passport_row_missing
proof status
unverified
cost/budget
No verified cost estimate
confidence low
next verification path
Build brief missing until Build Passport data exists.
Source missing: Build Passport payload.
Experiment plan missing until prototype path is available.
No prototype path attached.
Validation checklist missing until required assets, cost, and regulatory flags are verified.
No checklist artifact is attached to the Build Passport payload.
Derived signals show verified:false until source-backed receipts exist.
Evidence coverage
OpportunityKernel evidence_receipt
0 refs / 3 sources / 50% coverage
stale
Verify missing sources before using this as buyer proof. verified:false
Build readiness
BuildPassport EvidenceState
passport absent
stale
Run Proof Lab or inspect typed missing state. verified:false
Artifact maturity
GitHub and Hugging Face maturity payloads
No public artifact surface observed
stale
Open source artifacts or mark the gap as missing. verified:false
Technical feasibility
partial
Current read
Runnable path is not fully verified.
Evidence
No Build Passport payload attached.
Gaps
Next test
Run minimal reproduction from the Build Passport prototype path.
Market urgency
missing
Current read
Buyer urgency is not verified from source.
Evidence
0 references, 3 sources, 50% evidence coverage.
Gaps
Next test
Collect buyer interview, deployment evidence, or cited demand signal.
Buyer clarity
missing
Current read
No budget owner is verified for this paper.
Evidence
Build tab has no CRM, procurement, or operator source.
Gaps
Next test
Map target operator, economic buyer, and procurement trigger.
Defensibility
missing
Current read
Defensibility signals are missing.
Evidence
No defensibility receipt attached.
Gaps
Next test
Refresh defensibility bars with source receipts.
Integration burden
missing
Current read
No public implementation surface observed.
Evidence
No GitHub or Hugging Face payload attached.
Gaps
Next test
Write integration checklist from prototype path and target workflow.
Capital intensity
missing
Current read
No observed cost estimate is verified.
Evidence
Cost passport has no observed_usd value.
Gaps
Next test
Run cost passport or mark the cost field not applicable.
Regulatory load
missing
Current read
No regulatory classification is attached.
Evidence
Build Passport ledger does not include regulatory flags.
Gaps
Next test
Classify regulatory flags before commercialization planning.
No named scientific founder assigned.
Paper authors are not treated as operators without consent.
People
No named person assigned.
Gaps
Next verification path
Prototype owner missing.
Build Passport does not name an implementer.
People
No named person assigned.
Gaps
Next verification path
Operator workflow not sourced.
No buyer or workflow interview attached.
People
No named person assigned.
Gaps
Next verification path
No GTM owner verified.
No CRM or outreach source attached.
People
No named person assigned.
Gaps
Next verification path
Regulatory need unclassified.
No clinical or regulatory source attached.
People
No named person assigned.
Gaps
Next verification path
ARTIFACTS
No public artifacts yet.
DEFENSIBILITY
Defensibility and confidence evidence pending.
WATCHTOWER
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FORESIGHT
No prediction yet — minted on next Foresight batch.
OPPORTUNITYKERNEL CHANGES SINCE LAST VIEW
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COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE UPDATES
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RELATED PAPER UPDATES
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SIGNAL CANVAS HISTORY AND DELTAS
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TIMELINE
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BUZZ
Buzz trend pending.