Buildability / Receipt
This public receipt window renders only fields present in the canonical receipt object, deterministic fixture receipt, or canonical evidence receipt. Missing compute, demo, hash, signature, approval, telemetry, and adoption fields stay explicit.
Public buildability page receipt window
/buildability/calibeating-prediction-powered-inference
Subject: Calibeating Prediction-Powered Inference
Verdict
Ignore
Verdict is Ignore because current viability and proof state do not clear the buildability gate.
Time to first demo
Insufficient data
No first-demo timestamp, owner estimate, or elapsed demo receipt is attached to this surface.
Data
Lemma 4 (Isotonic L2 rate). Suppose Assumptions 1 and 2 holds. Then ∥m⋆n,iso − m0∥22,P0,X = Op(n−2/3). Proof of Lemma 4. Let T := m(X) and let MC := {f(T) : f ∈ Fiso, ∥f(T)∥∞ ≤ C}
Truth Boundary
Buildability surfaces only report computed viability and proof receipts. They do not claim live production usage, pilot outcomes, founder sign-off, public Brier calibration, judge divergence, or external adoption unless explicitly sourced.
Compute
Lemma 4 (Isotonic L2 rate). Suppose Assumptions 1 and 2 holds. Then ∥m⋆n,iso − m0∥22,P0,X = Op(n−2/3). Proof of Lemma 4. Let T := m(X) and let MC := {f(T) : f ∈ Fiso, ∥f(T)∥∞ ≤ C}. By Assumption 2, g0(T) is bounded by C0 ≤ C, and on An,C we have m⋆n,iso ∈ MC. Since clipping any monotone candidate to [−C
Inference
Lemma 4 (Isotonic L2 rate). Suppose Assumptions 1 and 2 holds. Then ∥m⋆n,iso − m0∥22,P0,X = Op(n−2/3). Proof of Lemma 4. Let T := m(X) and let MC := {f(T) : f ∈ Fiso, ∥f(T)∥∞ ≤ C}. By Assumption 2, g0(T) is bounded by C0 ≤ C, and on An,C we have m⋆n,iso ∈ MC. Since clipping any monotone candidate to [−C
Hardware
Lemma 4 (Isotonic L2 rate). Suppose Assumptions 1 and 2 holds. Then ∥m⋆n,iso − m0∥22,P0,X = Op(n−2/3). Proof of Lemma 4. Let T := m(X) and let MC := {f(T) : f ∈ Fiso, ∥f(T)∥∞ ≤ C}. By Assumption 2, g0(T) is bounded by C0 ≤ C, and on An,C we have m⋆n,iso ∈ MC. Since clipping any monotone candidate to [−C
Receipt path
/buildability/calibeating-prediction-powered-inference
Paper ref
calibeating-prediction-powered-inference
arXiv id
2604.21260
Generated at
2026-04-24T20:31:29.356Z
Evidence freshness
stale
Last verification
2026-04-24T20:31:29.356Z
Sources
3
References
0
Coverage
50%
Lineage hash
d2ac93de7adde2d2628490ad853fcd9858a031015292f03c907f3a3f8e1ed68b
Canonical opportunity-kernel lineage hash.
External signature
unsigned_external
No founder, registry, pilot, or production-adoption signature is attached to this receipt.
Verification
not_verified
Verification is blocked until an external signature is provided.
Some score or evidence fields are outside the preferred freshness window.
repo_url
references