{"data":{"slug":"foresight-ledger","term":"Foresight Ledger","bucket":"foresight","definition":"The public, append-only record of every frozen prediction batch with hit-rate, Brier, and calibration receipts.","short_definition":"The public, append-only record of every frozen prediction batch with hit-rate, Brier, and calibration receipts.","long_definition":"Foresight Ledger is the audit surface. Every prediction batch is appended with its mint timestamp, its model version, and the receipts that score it: hit rate, Brier outcome, calibration curve, hindsight summary. The ledger is append-only by design so a future reader can replay the same evaluation that we ran on day one.","related_terms":["foresight","frozen-prediction","brier-score"],"related_term_routes":[{"slug":"foresight","term":"Foresight","route":"/resources/glossary/foresight"},{"slug":"frozen-prediction","term":"Frozen Prediction","route":"/resources/glossary/frozen-prediction"},{"slug":"brier-score","term":"Brier Score","route":"/resources/glossary/brier-score"}],"canonical_route":"/resources/glossary/foresight-ledger","api_route":"/api/v1/resources/glossary/foresight-ledger","jsonld_id":"https://sciencetostartup.com/resources/glossary/foresight-ledger","variants":[],"tldr":"The public, append-only record of every frozen prediction batch with hit-rate, Brier, and calibration receipts.","key_points":[],"quality_tier":null,"citation_count":null,"source_state":"curated_static","source_module":"apps/web/data/glossary/terms.ts","definition_sections":{"schema_version":1,"intro":"Foresight Ledger is the audit surface. Every prediction batch is appended with its mint timestamp, its model version, and the receipts that score it: hit rate, Brier outcome, calibration curve, hindsight summary. The ledger is append-only by design so a future reader can replay the same evaluation that we ran on day one.","sections":[{"title":"Definition","items":[{"subtitle":"Foresight Ledger","text":"Foresight Ledger is the audit surface. Every prediction batch is appended with its mint timestamp, its model version, and the receipts that score it: hit rate, Brier outcome, calibration curve, hindsight summary. The ledger is append-only by design so a future reader can replay the same evaluation that we ran on day one."}]},{"title":"Related vocabulary","items":[{"subtitle":"Foresight","text":"The verifiable-prediction surface. Public ledger of frozen predictions with backtests, reasoning chain, and a self-improving flywheel."},{"subtitle":"Frozen Prediction","text":"A Foresight prediction whose scores were locked at mint time and cannot change. The public ledger is built from these."},{"subtitle":"Brier Score","text":"A proper scoring rule for probabilistic predictions. Lower is better. Public Brier receipt is a pending gate for Wave 7."}]}],"cited_arxiv_ids":[]}},"meta":{"canonical_route":"/resources/glossary/foresight-ledger","api_route":"/api/v1/resources/glossary/foresight-ledger","source":{"label":"curated glossary catalog","source_state":"curated_static","source_module":"apps/web/data/glossary/terms.ts","method_version":"public_glossary_curated_terms_v2","freshness":{"status":"versioned","observed_at":null,"fresh_until":null,"reason":"Git-versioned curated catalog; daily ingestion freshness windows do not apply.","reason_code":"git_versioned_curated_catalog"},"source_count":111,"bucket_count":7,"buckets":["scoring","surfaces","agents","distribution","data","foresight","buildability"]}}}