{"data":{"slug":"foresight","term":"Foresight","bucket":"foresight","definition":"The verifiable-prediction surface. Public ledger of frozen predictions with backtests, reasoning chain, and a self-improving flywheel.","short_definition":"The verifiable-prediction surface. Public ledger of frozen predictions with backtests, reasoning chain, and a self-improving flywheel.","long_definition":"Foresight is the prediction product. It mints frozen predictions for papers (startup, OSS traction, acquisition, adoption, none) with confidence and countdown, runs historical backtests against known outcomes, decomposes the reasoning chain into typed factors, and publishes calibration curves so the public ledger is auditable.","related_terms":["frozen-prediction","backtest-run","signal-fusion"],"related_term_routes":[{"slug":"frozen-prediction","term":"Frozen Prediction","route":"/resources/glossary/frozen-prediction"},{"slug":"backtest-run","term":"Backtest Run","route":"/resources/glossary/backtest-run"},{"slug":"signal-fusion","term":"Signal Fusion","route":"/resources/glossary/signal-fusion"}],"canonical_route":"/resources/glossary/foresight","api_route":"/api/v1/resources/glossary/foresight","jsonld_id":"https://sciencetostartup.com/resources/glossary/foresight","variants":[],"tldr":"The verifiable-prediction surface. Public ledger of frozen predictions with backtests, reasoning chain, and a self-improving flywheel.","key_points":[],"quality_tier":null,"citation_count":null,"source_state":"curated_static","source_module":"apps/web/data/glossary/terms.ts","definition_sections":{"schema_version":1,"intro":"Foresight is the prediction product. It mints frozen predictions for papers (startup, OSS traction, acquisition, adoption, none) with confidence and countdown, runs historical backtests against known outcomes, decomposes the reasoning chain into typed factors, and publishes calibration curves so the public ledger is auditable.","sections":[{"title":"Definition","items":[{"subtitle":"Foresight","text":"Foresight is the prediction product. It mints frozen predictions for papers (startup, OSS traction, acquisition, adoption, none) with confidence and countdown, runs historical backtests against known outcomes, decomposes the reasoning chain into typed factors, and publishes calibration curves so the public ledger is auditable."}]},{"title":"Related vocabulary","items":[{"subtitle":"Frozen Prediction","text":"A Foresight prediction whose scores were locked at mint time and cannot change. The public ledger is built from these."},{"subtitle":"Backtest Run","text":"A historical evaluation of the scoring model against known outcomes. Returns hit rate, precision@k, calibration curve."},{"subtitle":"Signal Fusion","text":"The composite score combining viability, prediction, community vote, and GitHub star velocity into one primary ranking number."}]}],"cited_arxiv_ids":[]}},"meta":{"canonical_route":"/resources/glossary/foresight","api_route":"/api/v1/resources/glossary/foresight","source":{"label":"curated glossary catalog","source_state":"curated_static","source_module":"apps/web/data/glossary/terms.ts","method_version":"public_glossary_curated_terms_v2","freshness":{"status":"versioned","observed_at":null,"fresh_until":null,"reason":"Git-versioned curated catalog; daily ingestion freshness windows do not apply.","reason_code":"git_versioned_curated_catalog"},"source_count":111,"bucket_count":7,"buckets":["scoring","surfaces","agents","distribution","data","foresight","buildability"]}}}